The Euro - Unity in Diversity
As a child of Maastrich Treaty, The Euro was created as a Common single
currency of the European Union in 1999 and notes and coins started circulating
in 2002. UK and some other countries did
not opt to become part of it then. Even
now UK is outside the currency union. About 23 countries use Euro as
their currency.
Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2008
saw the Euro zone, where Euro is the official currency, enter into recession
creating instability due to unbalanced economic developments among countries. Some countries like Germany
and France were stronger economically and some others were facing problems. The stress of a more severe recession was
threatening break-up of the Euro zone.
Easier said, than done. The
resultant catastrophe would have been monumental, had that happened. The severity would have been worst worldwide than Great
Depression of 1930s. Greece, Portugal, Ireland, Italy and Spain were the
laggards dragging the others down into the crisis. Defaults of these governments due to their
mounting debts were staring the entire union.
As is always, none was prepared to tighten their belt and adopt austerity
in their countries because of political compulsions. The better managed countries were made to
work out bailout packages to redeem crisis ridden governments. Greece had become a test case of how the EU
could deal better with the debt crisis emanating from its bulging debts. In 2010
the Greek Government debt was downgraded to ‘junk’. Even now Greece has not come out of the woods
though it showed some positive developments in between. It continues to have the debt burden and is
on the verge of or already in a debt trap, if not well attended. Austerity measures imposed were resented by
the mass and led to a change in government which won on the promise of no
austerity. Naturally people would not
want to reduce their consumption. But on
assuming office the new government in 2015 also learnt it the hard way that it
had to agree to the conditions of the European Central Bank (ECB),
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Euro zone countries, dubbed as Troika, for debt relief and other
supports to tide over the crisis. Portugal
and Ireland had the same problem of burgeoning debt with looming defaults. For Spain it was the housing bubble that
triggered the crisis with accompanying artificial and unsustainably high GDP
growth rate. The government’s very high
expenditure along with hidden losses and misleading information flow in banking
and finance sectors compounded the gravity of the situation.
Problems arising out of handling
of economy and its monetary policies by Greece continue to haunt regulators of
the currency mechanism, vis-a-vis, economic development of Euro zone. It has to downsize their expenditure, service
their debts and also guide their economy to grow by creating a right
environment for economic development. One country’s economic difficulties will trigger flight of capital and it cannot be isolated or insulated enough not to affect
the other performing better off countries as they are constituents of European
Union and Euro zone where free flow of capital and labour between them is
guaranteed. Flight of capital will only
aggravate the crisis.
Euro zone and India both have
similarities. Of course India is a
country with a federal structure consisting of about 25 states and union
territories, whereas Euro zone consists of about the same number of countries
but unified by a single currency. Here
regional imbalances are in states but in Euro zone the regional imbalances
occur in separate countries economically.
Both have the problems of pulls from various quarters with their
uniqueness. Both experience pulls and
pressures from within and without and find Unity in Diversity. The fruits of unity outweighs otherwise
extreme option in both cases. That is
the reason why even though the thought of exiting euro currency zone is current
in Greece it has not happened so far.
History has instances where unity
was not achieved through diversity. The
erstwhile Soviet Union consisted of 15 republics disintegrated at the end of
1991. Likewise Yugoslavia also
disintegrated in 1991-92. May be, the
unity could not be achieved in these cases because of the type of governments
they had which could not be called democratic.
But the latest affirmation for
Unity in Diversity came in 2014 in the referendum in which Scots decided to
remain with United Kingdom. Better wisdom prevailed.
The fact that these countries have a choice (to separate from the union) as compared to the states in a federal system (like India or US for that matter) probably makes unity a difficult thing to achieve. If seen at a high level, economically it makes less sense for a strong economy like Germany to be part of this union - however they are the strongest proponents of the union - however on closer inspection the benefits do outweigh their costs (for Germany this means free access to cheaper labour, free markets without duties and access to cheap raw materials). similarly for the PIIGS economies it means access to cheap finance, more investment and a stronger currency - however, the benefits do not trickle down to the masses without much hardships in the earlier stages - that means there will be ill feelings and unrest for people of lesser economies who have saved little, earn lesser than their counterparts in stronger markets but spend the same as the cost of goods are almost equal across Europe.
ReplyDeleteSo its a matter of no pain no gain actually - however, the 'pain' is borne by someone else than the one who is going to enjoy the 'gain'